Keir Starmer grilled over previous backing for Jeremy Corbyn
Labour have enjoyed a small conference bounce seeing their lead climb up one point to a 20 percent lead over the Tories.
It comes after the party held its conference in Liverpool this week and Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer responded to a protester at the start of his keynote speech.
The increase was in contrast to the Tories who actually lost a point after their conference in Manchester the week before which means Labour’s lead is up two in the last fortnight.
The Techne UK tracker poll this week puts Labour on 46 percent (up 1), the Conservatives 26 percent (unchanged), Lib Dems 10 percent (down 1), and Greens and Reform UK both unchanged on 6 percent.
According to the prediction site Electoral Calculus this would leave the Tories on just 118 seats and hand Labour a record majority of 248.
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But the chief executive of Techne UK michela Morizzo has warned Starmer and his party that “victory is not guranteed”.
Labour’s massive lead is based on those from the 1,631 questioned who said they know how they will vote.
However, 33 percent said they will not vote (23 percent) or do not know (10 percent).
This includes one in five (21 percent) of Tory voters from 2019 and a quarter (25 percent) of Lib Dem voters from that election.
But while 82 percent of 2019 Labour voters from 2019 will stick with the party despite Jeremy Corbyn and his supporters being ejected, less than half (48 percent) of the Conservative vote would stick with their 2019 choice.
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Ms Morizzo said: “Our regular tracker poll – taken just after the Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer had spoken on Tuesday afternoon this last week – shows a continued rise in Labour support over the Conservatives.
“This week we see Starmer’s party grow by one point in national vote share to 46 percent with Rishi Sunak’s party remaining fixed on 26 percent of national vote share- thus giving Labour a 20 point lead.
“This lead has grown for Labour over the Conservatives this past party conference season by two points – so initial indications show that these weeks have been much better for Labour than the Conservatives.
“Overall though I would say many voters remain uncertain who to vote for and as such it cannot be said at this time that Labour have any future General Election guaranteed and ‘in the bag’ – there remains still a great deal for both major UK parties to work on, and so only time will further tell how things will pan out.”
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