John Curtice deals hammer blow to Labour as he warns Starmer won’t win next election

Local elections: Starmer speaks to supporters in Barnet

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The professor of politics at the University of Strathclyde said that while the party has seen significant gains in London, outside of the capital Labour’s vote share was actually down compared to 2018 when the seats were last up for election. He said as things stood there was o obvious route to No10 for the Opposition.

Prof Sir John told the BBC: “Labour are probably somewhat disappointed.”

He added that the results were not a performance “that indicated a party that is on course for winning a general election with a majority”.

Prof Sir John said that based on the results of last night there was not even certainty that Sir Keir Starmer’s party would win the most seats at the next general election.

“Outside of London, as compared to 2018 when these seats were last contested, it looks like their seats are down slightly,” he said.

“And for a party that is trying to regain ground in the so-called Red Wall seats in the Midlands and north of England, this wasn’t quite the progress they wanted.

“There is still a very substantial legacy of the impact of Brexit on both the character of the Conservative and Labour supporters.

“The Conservatives is still much stronger in Leave areas, and therefore Labour is still struggling to make more progress there.”

His analysis paints a very different picture to the one being portrayed by Labour.

Sir Keir Starmer has been talking up the results as proof his party is “back on track”.

He said the elections “sent a message to the Prime Minister that Britain deserves better” as he reacted to the results.

More to follow…

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